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Acknowledgements |
6 |
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Contents |
9 |
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List of Abbreviations |
13 |
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Chapter 1: Opening the Floor: The Rivalry Between Eagle and Dragon in Asia-Pacific |
18 |
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1.1 Literature Overview: The Attested Struggle Between Giants |
31 |
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1.2 Tackling the Academic Void: Research Puzzle and Research Questions |
73 |
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1.3 Some Opening Words on Methodology and Research Design |
75 |
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References |
90 |
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Chapter 2: Theoretical Framework: Realism as a Lens for Analysis |
102 |
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2.1 Classical Realism |
108 |
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2.2 Structural Realism |
113 |
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2.3 The Core of Realist Theories |
119 |
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2.4 The Balance-of-Power Theory |
126 |
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2.5 International Cooperation in a Realist World |
138 |
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References |
164 |
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Chapter 3: Power in International Relations |
170 |
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3.1 Aggregate Understandings of Power |
175 |
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3.2 Relational Understandings of Power |
180 |
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3.3 Structural Understandings of Power |
188 |
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3.4 The Challenge of Measuring Power |
196 |
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3.5 The Continuing Relevance of Capabilities |
200 |
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References |
205 |
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Chapter 4: Towards a Middle Power Theory in International Relations |
211 |
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4.1 Great Powers |
216 |
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4.2 Middle Powers |
223 |
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4.3 The Role of Middle Powers in Understanding Shifts in Relational Power |
230 |
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References |
236 |
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Chapter 5: Taking Stock of Asia-Pacific´s Tangible Power Changes: Measuring Aggregate Power |
240 |
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5.1 An Index of Aggregate Power: The Cline Formula |
242 |
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5.1.1 Critical Mass |
245 |
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5.1.2 Economic Capabilities |
246 |
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5.1.3 Military Capabilities |
249 |
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5.1.4 Strategic Purpose and National Will |
253 |
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5.2 Reconceptualising and Refining the Cline Formula: Modelling a New Composite Indicator on Aggregate Power (CIAP) |
255 |
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5.2.1 Standardisation |
259 |
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5.2.2 Weighting and Grouping |
260 |
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5.2.3 Aggregation and Sensitivity Testing |
263 |
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5.3 Adding Empirical Flesh to Theoretical Bones: Calculating the CIAP |
266 |
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5.3.1 Critical Mass |
266 |
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5.3.2 Economic Capabilities |
269 |
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5.3.2.1 Gross National Product |
269 |
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5.3.2.2 Domestic Energy Supply and External Energy Dependence |
278 |
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5.3.2.3 Critical Nonfuel Minerals |
282 |
|
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5.3.2.4 Industrial Strength |
290 |
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5.3.2.5 Food Production and Dependency |
298 |
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5.3.2.6 Trade |
302 |
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5.3.3 Military Capabilities |
310 |
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5.3.4 Strategic Purpose and National Will |
325 |
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5.4 Assembling the CIAP |
334 |
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5.5 Summary and Evaluation of Findings |
342 |
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References |
346 |
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Chapter 6: Determining the (Almost) Intangible: Measuring Relational Power |
356 |
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6.1 Defining Measures for Comparative Case Studies in Mixed-Method Research on Relational Power |
359 |
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6.2 Neither Small Nor Great: Identifying Middle Powers in Asia-Pacific |
368 |
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References |
376 |
|
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Chapter 7: Australia: Trading with the Dragon, But Flying with the Eagle |
380 |
|
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7.1 Australia as a Middle Power |
380 |
|
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7.1.1 Economic Development |
380 |
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7.1.2 Foreign Policy |
381 |
|
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7.1.3 Security Profile |
382 |
|
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7.2 Australia´s Relations with the United States |
384 |
|
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7.3 Australia´s Relations with China |
400 |
|
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7.4 Analysis: Shifting Allegiance? |
428 |
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References |
442 |
|
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Chapter 8: Pakistan: `Iron Brother´ to Beijing, Reluctant Partner for Washington |
452 |
|
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8.1 Pakistan as a Middle Power |
452 |
|
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8.1.1 Economic Development |
452 |
|
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8.1.2 Foreign Policy |
457 |
|
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8.1.3 Security Profile |
459 |
|
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8.2 Pakistan´s Relations with the United States |
462 |
|
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8.3 Pakistan´s Relations with China |
484 |
|
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8.4 Analysis: Shifting Allegiance? |
503 |
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References |
513 |
|
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Chapter 9: Japan: Warm Ties to Washington, `Cold Politics´ with Beijing |
521 |
|
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9.1 Japan as a Middle Power |
521 |
|
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9.1.1 Economic Development |
523 |
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9.1.2 Foreign Policy |
527 |
|
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9.1.3 Security Profile |
528 |
|
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9.2 Japan´s Relations with the United States |
530 |
|
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9.3 Japan´s Relations with China |
547 |
|
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9.4 Analysis: Shifting Allegiance? |
561 |
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References |
571 |
|
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Chapter 10: The Republic of Korea: No Longer a Small `Shrimp Among Whales´ |
581 |
|
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10.1 The ROK as a Middle Power |
581 |
|
|
10.1.1 Economic Development |
582 |
|
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10.1.2 Foreign Policy |
584 |
|
|
10.1.3 Security Profile |
587 |
|
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10.2 The ROK´s Relations with the United States |
589 |
|
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10.3 The ROK´s Relations with China |
612 |
|
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10.4 Analysis: Shifting Allegiance? |
630 |
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References |
642 |
|
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Chapter 11: Thailand: Bending with the Wind Again? |
650 |
|
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11.1 Thailand as a Middle Power |
650 |
|
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11.1.1 Economic Development |
650 |
|
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11.1.2 Foreign Policy |
652 |
|
|
11.1.3 Security Profile |
655 |
|
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11.2 Thailand´s Relations with the United States |
657 |
|
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11.3 Thailand´s Relations with China |
674 |
|
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11.4 Analysis-Shifting Allegiance? |
686 |
|
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References |
702 |
|
|
Chapter 12: Indonesia: Rowing Between Two Reefs Once More |
709 |
|
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12.1 Indonesia as a Middle Power |
709 |
|
|
12.1.1 Economic Development |
710 |
|
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12.1.2 Foreign Policy |
712 |
|
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12.1.3 Security Profile |
713 |
|
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12.2 Indonesia´s Relations with the United States |
716 |
|
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12.3 Indonesia´s Relations with China |
726 |
|
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12.4 Analysis: Shifting Allegiance? |
736 |
|
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References |
752 |
|
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Chapter 13: Conclusion: Does `Rising´ in Power Equate to `Shifting´ of Power? |
760 |
|
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References |
778 |
|