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Dedication |
5 |
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Preface |
6 |
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Acknowledgments |
10 |
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Contents |
11 |
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List of Figures |
13 |
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List of Tables |
14 |
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Chapter 1: Introduction |
15 |
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Perceptions of Threat and Theories of International Security |
18 |
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Research Design and Hypothesis |
22 |
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Overview |
22 |
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Hypothesis |
23 |
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Variables |
24 |
|
|
Hypothesis Overview: Systems Creation Versus Systems Destruction |
32 |
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Chapters Outline |
35 |
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Scholarly Contributions and Goals |
39 |
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Closing Remarks |
41 |
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Notes |
42 |
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Works Cited |
42 |
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|
Chapter 2: Theoretical Framework |
44 |
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The International System in Waltzian Realism: Capabilities-Centric |
45 |
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The International System Today: Vulnerabilities-Centric |
47 |
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Vulnerability and the Importance of Referent Objects: Human Beings, Not States |
48 |
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Systemic Vulnerabilities and Their Origins: Defining Its Distribution Across States |
52 |
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Gaining and Losing State Power Status: The Importance of Studying the Distribution of Vulnerabilities to Periods of Systemic Change |
55 |
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The Role of the Hegemon: Systems-Creation and Systems-Destruction |
60 |
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|
Interventions: The Duty of the Hegemon |
63 |
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Conclusion: The International System in the Twenty-First Century |
69 |
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Note |
70 |
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Works Cited |
70 |
|
|
Chapter 3: State and Power Vulnerability |
72 |
|
|
Sources of Systemic State Vulnerability |
73 |
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|
Systemic Reach of State Vulnerability |
77 |
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Prescriptions: The Balance of Power Containment Foreign Policy |
82 |
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Conclusion |
89 |
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Notes |
90 |
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|
Works Cited |
90 |
|
|
Chapter 4: Economic Vulnerability |
92 |
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|
Sources of Systemic Economic Vulnerability |
93 |
|
|
Systemic Reach of Economic Vulnerability |
98 |
|
|
Russia: The Limits of Revisionism |
98 |
|
|
United States Power: The Economy as Architect and Achilles Heel |
100 |
|
|
China’s Domestic Overstretch |
102 |
|
|
Overview |
103 |
|
|
Prescriptions: Economic Development and Global Governance3 |
104 |
|
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Conclusion |
111 |
|
|
Notes |
112 |
|
|
Works Cited |
112 |
|
|
Chapter 5: Environmental and Health Vulnerabilities |
114 |
|
|
Sources of Environmental/Health Systemic Vulnerability |
115 |
|
|
Systemic Reach |
120 |
|
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Potential Prescriptions: Working Within Disembedded Liberalism |
129 |
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Conclusion |
136 |
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|
Works Cited |
137 |
|
|
Chapter 6: Political Vulnerabilities and Transnational Threats |
139 |
|
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Sources of Systemic Political Vulnerabilities |
140 |
|
|
Systemic Reach of Political Vulnerability |
146 |
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|
Potential Prescriptions: Smarter Strategies |
151 |
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Silence is Golden Strategy and the Mushroom Effect: The Lessons of Sun Tzu |
154 |
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Conclusion |
158 |
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Notes |
159 |
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|
Works Cited |
159 |
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|
Chapter 7: Cyber-Vulnerability |
161 |
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Sources of Systemic Cyber-Vulnerabilities |
162 |
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Systemic Reach of Cyber-Vulnerabilities |
169 |
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Potential Prescriptions: No Easy Task |
174 |
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Conclusions |
178 |
|
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Works Cited |
179 |
|
|
Chapter 8: Recommendations: Desecuritization, Prioritization and Defensive Foreign Policy |
182 |
|
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Foreign Policy in the Twenty-First Century: Toward a Defensive Foreign Policy |
183 |
|
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Systemic Vulnerabilities: Decision-Makers and Thinking |
187 |
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Priortization Through Desecuritization: Shifting Focus1 |
190 |
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Desecuritization as a Process of Reprioritization |
195 |
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Ranked Order of Prioritization |
196 |
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Public Goods and Human Security: Systems Survival |
201 |
|
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Conclusion |
205 |
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Note |
205 |
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Works Cited |
205 |
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Chapter 9: Think Weak, Act Weak: A Look into State Mentalities |
207 |
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|
Introduction |
207 |
|
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Mentalities and the Process of Mutual Constitution: The Framework |
209 |
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How Are Mentalities Created? |
212 |
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How Do States Understand Themselves? |
215 |
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How are Their Interests Formed and Generated? |
218 |
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Mentalities of Weakness, Greatness, Overstretch and Death |
220 |
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Concluding Remarks |
227 |
|
|
Notes |
228 |
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Works Cited |
229 |
|
|
Chapter 10: Conclusions |
230 |
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Contradictions and Strong Objectivity |
233 |
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Final Words |
235 |
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Note |
236 |
|
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Works Cited |
236 |
|
|
Works Cited |
238 |
|
|
Index |
251 |
|