Cover	1
	Title Page	3
	Copyright Page	4
	Members of the Editorial Committee and the Editorial Office	5
	Research Group on Regional Development Research of the Chinese Academy of Sciences	5
	Foreword to the Roadmaps 2050	7
	Significance of the Research on China’s S&T Roadmap to 2050	7
	Possibility of Working out China’s S&T Roadmap to 2050	10
	Necessity of CAS Research on China’s S&T Roadmap to 2050	11
	Preface to the Roadmaps 2050	13
	Preface	18
	Table of Contents	20
	Abstract	23
	1 Regional Development and Regional Development Research	25
	1.1 The Attribute of Regional Development Research	26
	1.1.1 The Comprehensiveness of Regional Development and Integrated Research Methods	27
	1.1.2 General Theories of Spatial Differentiation and Regional Development	29
	1.1.3 New Factors, New Mechanisms and Time Differentiation in Regional Development	31
	1.1.4 The Uncertainty of Regional Development— Effects of Human Activities	32
	1.2 Basic Perspectives on the Current Situation of Regional Development Research	34
	1.2.1 The Supporting Conditions of Functional Zones and the Indicator System for Functional Zoning	34
	1.2.2 Research on Regional Sustainable Development	35
	1.2.3 Theoretical Research on Spatial Complex, Cluster and Spatial Structure	35
	1.2.4 Theoretical Research on City-region Interaction and the Development of Extended Metropolitan Regions (EMR)	36
	1.2.5 Research on Database, Spatial Analytical Methods and Regional Simulation	36
	1.3 The Return and Innovation in Mainstream Regional Development Research	37
	1.3.1 The Return in Geography: from Regionality to Regional School	37
	1.3.2 The Development of Mainstream Regional Research	38
	1.3.3 The Formation and Resurgence of Regional Sciences	39
	2 Basic Trends and Scientific and Technological Demands of Regional Development	41
	2.1 Basic Trends of Regional Development	41
	2.1.1 Future Economic Development in China	41
	2.1.2 Chinese Population Growth, Population Flow and Urbanization Process	43
	2.1.3 The Severe Situation Confronting the Evolution of Resources, Environment and Ecology in China	44
	2.1.4 The Development of Infrastructure System (Transport and Information	45
	2.1.5 Economic Globalization Will Be a Tortuous and Gradually Deepening Process	46
	2.1.6 Regional Development in China under Global Change	47
	2.2 Scientific and Technological Development Tasks in Regional Development	48
	2.3 Scientific and Technological Demands of Regional Development in China (to 2030)	50
	2.3.1 Spatial Pattern of Economic Growth and Social Development at Major Developmental Stages	50
	2.3.2 Rational Progress and Mode of Urbanization in China	53
	2.3.3 Mechanisms and Trends of Regional Development in “Three-Dimensional Objective Space”	55
	2.3.4 Application of Simulation Technique and Spatial Analysis	55
	2.3.5 Regional Problems and Development from Global Perspective	57
	2.3.6 Ecological Compensation and Financial Transfer Payment	57
	2.4 Scientific and Technological Demands in Regional Development (2030–2050)	57
	2.4.1 To Ensure Homeland and Ecological Security at Various Scales	58
	2.4.2 Cross-border Cooperation and Development	58
	2.4.3 Low-carbon Economy Will Become New Growth Engine of Regional Economy in the Future	59
	2.4.4 Regional Problems Caused by the Reconstruction of Global Financial System	59
	3 Major Research Issues and Roadmap Design in Regional Development Research	61
	3.1 Scientific and Technological Development Objectives in Regional Development	61
	3.1.1 The Identification of Major Research Fields	61
	3.1.2 Short-term (to 2020) Development Objectives	62
	3.1.3 Medium-term (to 2030) Development Goals	64
	3.1.4 Long-term (to 2050) Development Objectives	64
	3.2 Roadmap Design for Scientific and Technological Demands in Regional Development Research	65
	3.2.1 Science and Technology Framework	65
	3.2.2 The Roadmap of Scientific and Technological Development	66
	3.2.3 The Roadmap Design of Scientific and Technological Objectives in Regional Development Research	67
	(A) The Research Field of “Factors and Mechanisms”	67
	(B) The Research Field of “Development by Sector and Type”	67
	(C) The Research Field of “Regional Patterns”	68
	(D) The Research Field of “Regional Process”	69
	(E) The Research Field of “Regional Governance”	70
	(F) TheResearch Field of “Regional Analysis” (Research Methods of Regional Development)	72
	3.2.4 Strategic Arrangements of Key Research Questions at Different Stages	72
	3.3 Transition of the Scientific and Technological Field in Regional Development Research	81
	3.3.1 Regional Development in the Three-dimensional Objective Space	81
	3.3.2 Regional Development under Three Requirements	81
	3.3.3 Regional Development in Three Spaces	81
	3.3.4 Regional Development Research Based on Three Integrations	82
	4 Integrated Propositions of Regional Development Research	83
	4.1 Theory of Territorial Function Formation and Regional Development Patterns in China	83
	4.1.1 Significance of the Topic	83
	4.1.2 Research Objectives	84
	4.1.3 Main Contents	85
	4.1.4 Key Scientific Issues and Innovations	87
	4.2 Forecast of Urbanization and Overall Mechanism of Urban-Rural Integration	87
	4.2.1 Significance of the Topic	87
	4.2.2 Research Objectives	88
	4.2.3 Main Contents	89
	4.2.4 Key Scientific Issues and Innovations	90
	4.3 Ecological Compensation Theory and Approaches to Achieve Coordinated Regional Development	91
	4.3.1 Significance of the Topic	91
	4.3.2 Research Objectives	92
	4.3.3 Main Contents	92
	4.3.4 Key Scientific Issues and Innovations	94
	5 Strategies and Actions of Chinese Academy of Sciences	95
	5.1 Basic Strategy and Overall Deployment	95
	5.1.1 The Development of Regional Development Researchas An Interdisciplinary Field Requires the Removal of Man-made Obstacles and the Employment of Multiple Means	95
	5.1.2 Develop Theoretical System of the Interaction among the Elements of Man-earth System and the “Environmental-social Dynamics” of Man-earth Relationship	96
	5.1.3 Construct Data and Technical Support Platform, and Achieve the Prediction and Forecast of Regional Development Trends	98
	5.1.4 Establish Cross-disciplinary Joint Research Center and Achieve Cross-fertilization and Integration	98
	5.1.5 The Construction of Research Institutes and Talents Training	99
	5.2 Implement Long-term Research Plan and Establish the Simulation and Decision Support System for Regional Sustainable Development in China	99
	5.3 Start Pilot-Research Programs and Establish Platform of “Simulation and Decision Support System for Regional Sustainable Development in China”	104
	Appendix 1 Monographic Studies on the Roadmap of Scientific and Technological Development in Regional Development	107
	A1.1 New Factors and Mechanisms Affecting Regional Development	107
	A1.1.1 Literature Review on Factors and Mechanisms of Regional Development	107
	A1.1.2 Scientific and Technological Demands for Researches on the Factors and Mechanisms of Regional Development	108
	(A) Research on the Guarantee Capacity of Regional Resource Security	109
	(B) Externality-based Inter-regional Interests Coordination and Compensation Mechanisms	109
	(C) Pre-warning Study on Regional Industrial Structures Under the Constraints of Sustainable Development	109
	(D) Research on the Regional Dynamics and Spatial Pattern of New Economy Industry Development	110
	A1.1.3 Overall Goals and Stage Objectives to 2050	110
	A1.1.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	111
	(A) Major Scientific Issues	111
	(B) Research Design	112
	(C) Roadmap Design	114
	A1.2 Roadmap of Spatial Organization of Industries	115
	A1.2.1 Status Quo and Research Progress of Spatial Organization of Industries	115
	A1.2.2 Research Trends and Scientific and Technologic Demands of Spatial Organization of Industries	117
	(A) Industrial distribution under the resource and environment restriction	117
	(B) Spatial Organization of Industries Under the International Political Pattern	118
	(C) The mechanism and spatial effect of industrial agglomeration and diffusion	118
	A1.2.3 Overall Goals and Stage Objectives to 2050	119
	(A) Overall Goals	119
	(B) Stage Objectives	119
	A1.2.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	120
	(A) Research Focuses and Plan from Now to 2020	122
	(B) Research Focuses and Plan from 2020 to 2050	122
	A1.3 China’s Agricultural and Rural Development Roadmap	123
	A1.3.1 Status Quo and Research Progress of China’s Agricultural and Rural Development	123
	A1.3.2 Trends of CARD and Scientific and Technological Demands	125
	(A) Factors Affecting CARD Will Exist for A Long Time and Some Contradictions Will Be Intensifi ed.	125
	(B) CARD Is Increasingly Oriented Towards Modernization, Internationalization and Marketization	125
	(C) CARD Will Become the Important Basis for Establishing A New Pattern of Rural-urban Integration	126
	(D) CARD Going Towards to Integrated and Systematic Researches	126
	A1.3.3 The Overall Goals and Stage Objectives to 2050	127
	(A) The Research Subjects and Objectives (from 2010 to 2020)	127
	(B) The Research Subjects and Objectives (from 2020 to 2030)	127
	(C) The Research Subjects and Objectives (from 2030 to 2050)	128
	A1.3.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	128
	(A) Major Scientific Issues and Research Contents	128
	(B) Expected Projects	130
	(C) CARD Roadmap	131
	A1.4 Prospects and Spatial Pattern of China’s Urbanization	131
	A1.4.1 Overall Evaluation of China’s Urbanization	132
	A1.4.2 Overall Judgment on Trend and Pattern of Urbanization and the Scientific and Technological Demand Analysis	133
	(A) Basic Judgment on the Future Development Trend of Urbanization	133
	(B) Future Spatial Patterns of the Reorganization of National Urban System	134
	(C) Scientific and Technological Demand of National Urbanization Development and Pattern Formation	135
	A1.4.3 Overall Goals and Stage Objectives to 2050	136
	(A) Overall Goals and Stage Objectives in Urbanization process	136
	(B) Overall Research Goals and Stage Objectives	137
	A1.4.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	138
	(A) Key Scientific Issues	138
	(B) Major Research Contents and the Roadmap	139
	(C) Technological Roadmap	139
	A1.5 Leisure Demand Changes and Regional Development	141
	A1.5.1 The Status quo and Research Progress of Leisure Demand	141
	A1.5.2 Changes in Leisure Demands and Their Impacts on Regional Development	142
	(A) Leisure-driven Economy and Recreationalization of Life	142
	(B) A Variety of Leisure Demands Create Vast Growth Space for Leisure Economy	143
	(C) To Promote the Urban-rural Balanced Development and Spatial Pattern Transfer	143
	(D) To Promote the Conservation and Sustainable Utilization of Resources	143
	A1.5.3 Scientific and Technological Demand in the Future	144
	A1.5.4 Roadmap Design	145
	(A) Overall Objectives	145
	(B) Stage Objectives	145
	(C) Key Research Projects	146
	A1.6 Transport and Communication Technologies and Regional Development	147
	A1.6.1 The Role of Transport and Communication Technologies	147
	A1.6.2 Major Research Objectives	150
	A1.6.3 Roadmap Design	151
	A1.7 The Status Quo and Research Progress of Ecological Environment and Resource System in China	153
	A1.7.1 The Research Status Quo of China’s Ecological Environment and Resource System	153
	A1.7.2 Judging the Future Development of Ecological Environment and Resource System and the Scientific and Technological Demand Analysis	155
	A1.7.3 The Overall Goals and Stage Objectives to 2050	157
	A1.7.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	158
	A1.8 Roadmap of Regional Management Systems	160
	A1.8.1 The Status Quo and Research Progress of Regional Management	160
	A1.8.2 Development Trends and Scientific and Technological Demand	162
	A1.8.3 Overall Goals and Stage Objectives to 2050	165
	A1.8.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	167
	Appendix 2 Studies on the Roadmap of Scientific and Technological Development in the Development of Typical Regions	169
	A2.1 Developed Eastern Coastal Regions	169
	A2.1.1 Status Quo and Research Progress in the Development of Developed Eastern Coastal Regions	169
	A2.1.2 Development Trend and Scientific and Technological Demands of Developed Eastern Coastal Regions	171
	A2.1.3 Overall Goals and Stage Objectives (to 2050)	173
	A2.1.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	174
	A2.2 Revitalization and Sustainable Development of the Old Industrial Bases	177
	A2.2.1 The Status Quo Research Progress	177
	A2.2.2 Future Development and Scientific and Technological Demand of Old Industrial Bases	179
	A2.2.3 Overall Goals and Stage Objectives to 2050	181
	A2.2.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	182
	A2.3 Sustainable Development Roadmap for Mountainous Areas of China	185
	A2.3.1 Status Quo and Research Progress of Mountainous Areas	185
	A2.3.2 Judging the Sustainable Development and Scientific and Technological Demands in Mountainous Areas	187
	A2.3.3 Overall Goals and Stage Objectives to 2050	189
	A2.3.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	191
	A2.4 Scientific and Technological Roadmap for Research on Regional Development in Border Areas of China to 2050	194
	A2.4.1 Status Quo and Research Progress in Border Areas	195
	A2.4.2 Judging the Future Regional Development in Border Areas and the Scientific and Technological Demands	197
	A2.4.3 Overall Goals and Stage Objectives to 2050	198
	A2.4.4 Implementation Plans and Technological Roadmap	200
	References	204
	Epilogue	213