978-1-4020-4200-3_BookFrontmatter_OnlinePDF.pdf	2
	978-1-4020-4200-3_1_OnlinePDF.pdf	16
	SECTIONI Flood Risk Management Practice	16
	Decision-Making for Flood-Threatened Properties	17
	I. Kelman	17
	Introduction	17
	To Seal Or Not To Seal?	19
	Other Analytical Strategies for Individual Properties	25
	The Community Context	29
	Conclusions	31
	978-1-4020-4200-3_2_OnlinePDF.pdf	34
	The Influence of Floodplain Compartmentalization on Flood Risk Within the Rhine-Meuse Delta	34
	D. Alkema and H. Middelkoop	34
	Introduction	34
	Historic Background	36
	Inundation Scenarios	38
	Dike Failures	38
	Spill-Overs	38
	Breaches	39
	Topography	39
	The 2D-Flood Propagation Model Delft-FLS	42
	Data Requirements	43
	Model Output	43
	Model Sensitivity	43
	Boundary Conditions and Model Calibration	44
	River Discharge	44
	Stage Discharge Relations Waal and Meuse	44
	Surface Roughness Coefficients	45
	Model Calibration	45
	Flood Hazard Assessment	46
	Flood Damage Estimation	51
	Multi-Parameter Flood Hazard Estimation -- An Example	51
	Results and Conclusions	53
	978-1-4020-4200-3_3_OnlinePDF.pdf	56
	Osiris -- an Example of Citizen-Oriented Technology Development in the area of Dissemination of Information on Flood Risk Management	56
	M. Erlich	56
	Introduction	56
	The Osiris Context of the Flood Risk Management	57
	The Experience of Osiris	58
	Objectives of the Project	58
	Methodological Approach	59
	Results of OSIRIS	61
	OSIRIS Demonstrators and Lessons Learned	62
	Potential Services for Flood RiskManagemeNT	69
	Information Dissemination Services	69
	Services Related to Education	70
	Validation Process	71
	Concluding Remarks -- Towards Further Deployment of the Osiris Results -- Challenges for the Future	72
	978-1-4020-4200-3_4_OnlinePDF.pdf	74
	Evolving Concepts in Flood Risk Management: Searching for a Common Language	74
	K. De Bruijn, C. Green, C. Johnson and L. m1cfadden	74
	Introduction	74
	Flood Risk Management: an Integrated Approach to Coping With Floods	75
	Defining Resilience for Frm	77
	Natural Hazards and Vulnerability	80
	The Role of Uncertainty in Flood Risk Management	81
	Relationships Between Concepts	84
	Conclusion	86
	978-1-4020-4200-3_5_OnlinePDF.pdf	89
	Comrisk -- A transnational project of public authorities on coastal risk management	89
	J.L.A. HOFSTEDE	89
	Introduction	89
	The Project	91
	Subproject 1 -- Policies and Strategies	92
	Subproject 3 -- Public Perception and Participation	95
	Discussion and Outlook	98
	978-1-4020-4200-3_6_OnlinePDF.pdf	101
	Dike Investigations Using Geophysical Methods -- Techniques for the Future?	101
	R. Morawetz, J. SchöN, C. Wohlfahrt and M. Röck	101
	Introduction	101
	Description of Methods Tested	104
	Overview	104
	Methods	104
	Results of Test Measurements -- Case A	106
	Pilot Site St. Dionysen	106
	Pilot Site Spielfeld/Stra"019	107
	Results of Test Measurements -- Case B	110
	Pilot Site Lobau	110
	Conclusions, Benefits and Limitations	114
	978-1-4020-4200-3_7_OnlinePDF.pdf	116
	SECTIONII Flood Events and Impacts	116
	The Environmental Impact of Flooding of The Dutch `Delta-Metropole'	117
	L.C.P.M. Stuyt, J.E.A. Reinders, E.E. Van Der Hoek, E.G.M. Hermans, M. De Muinck KeizeR, and J. Icke	117
	Introduction	117
	The `Krimpen' Case Study	118
	The Hydrodynamic Sobek Model `Delft1D-2D'	119
	The Water Quality Module `Delwaq'	121
	The `ERA' Sediment Transport Model	122
	Compounds and Physical Mechanisms	123
	Locations and Quantities of Pollutants	123
	Release of Pollutants into the Environment	125
	Results	127
	Suspended Particles	127
	Mono-Aromatics	127
	PAHs	129
	Alkanes and Alkenes	130
	DNAPLs	132
	Pesticides and Herbicides	132
	Heavy Metals	133
	Assessment of Damage From the Environmental Impacts	134
	Clean-up Costs	135
	Damage in Agriculture	136
	Conclusions	137
	978-1-4020-4200-3_8_OnlinePDF.pdf	140
	Structural Economic Effects of Large-Scale Inundation	140
	M. BoCkarjova, A.E. Steenge and A. Van Der Veen	140
	Introduction	140
	Damage	142
	Basic Concepts for Damage Estimation	142
	Indirect Effects in an Economy	144
	Damage: Towards a Consistent Set of Definitions for Direct and Indirect Costs	145
	Input-Output Analysis	145
	Consequences of a Shock to an Economy: Business Disruption	146
	Asymmetric Shock	147
	Production `Bottlenecks'	147
	Lifeline System	148
	Substitution Effect	149
	Other Factors	149
	The Case of Krimpen: Calculations	150
	The Data	150
	Direct Damage Estimation	152
	Indirect Economic Effects	152
	Discussion of Results	156
	Conclusions	158
	978-1-4020-4200-3_9_OnlinePDF.pdf	164
	A Method to Estimate Loss of Life Caused by Large-Scale Floods in the Netherlands	164
	N.E.M. Asselman and S.N. Jonkman	164
	Introduction	164
	Development of a loss of life model in GIS	165
	Introduction	165
	Evacuation	165
	Relationship Between Flooding Characteristics and Loss of Life	167
	Model Framework	170
	Case studies	170
	Study Area	170
	Hydraulic simulations	171
	Results	172
	Discussion	175
	Conclusions	178
	978-1-4020-4200-3_10_OnlinePDF.pdf	180
	Automation Of Flood Contingency Plans	180
	J.J. Flikweert, C. Coremans, K. De Gooijer, and L. Wentholt	180
	Introduction	181
	Information Management During Flood Threat Situations	181
	The Dutch Flood Defence System	181
	Dike Rings	181
	Tasks in Flood Threat Situations	182
	Emergency Organisation of the Water Boards	182
	Operational Team and Policy Team	182
	Tasks of the Operational Team	182
	Tools of the Operational Team	183
	Need for Improved Information Management Tools	183
	Properties And Functionalities Of Gdh	183
	General Use of the Programme	184
	Off-Line Mode	184
	On-Line Mode	184
	Post Event Use	186
	Automation: Benefits And Threats	187
	Error Reduction	187
	Improved Understanding	187
	Improved Efficiency	188
	Clear Hierarchy and Decision Structure	188
	Development Process	189
	Initiative	189
	Preliminary Study	189
	Functional Specifications	190
	Technical Design	191
	Construction	191
	Testing	191
	Following Cycles	192
	Implementation Experiences	192
	Functional Implementation	192
	Technical Implementation	194
	Organisational Implementation	194
	Further Development	194
	Improvement of Current Application	195
	Interreg Funding	195
	Other Emergency Types	195
	Conclusions	196
	978-1-4020-4200-3_11_OnlinePDF.pdf	197
	SECTIONIII Flood Analysis and Modelling	197
	The Impact European Research Project on Flood Propagation in Urban Areas: Experimental and Numerical Modelling of the Influence of Buildings on the Flow	198
	S. Soares Frazão, F. Alcrudo, J. Mulet, B. Noël, G. Testa, and Y. Zech	198
	Introduction	198
	Severe Floods in Urban Areas	199
	Experimental Work	201
	The Isolated-Building Experiment	202
	The Model City Flooding Experiment	204
	Modelling Work	209
	Numerical Strategy	210
	Adopted Techniques for Urban Flooding	211
	The Isolated Building Test Case Results	212
	The Model City Flooding Experiment Test Case Results	213
	Conclusion	217
	978-1-4020-4200-3_12_OnlinePDF.pdf	219
	Sustainable Development and Flood Risk -- Reducing Uncertainty (Bristol City Re-Development Case Study)	219
	M. Pinnell	219
	Introduction	220
	Flood Mapping in England and Wales	221
	Bristol Broadmead Case Study	222
	Broadmead Development	225
	Data Collection	226
	Hydraulic Modelling	230
	Conclusions	234
	978-1-4020-4200-3_13_OnlinePDF.pdf	236
	Flood Risk Mapping At The Local Scale: Concepts And Challenges	236
	B. Merz, A.H. Thieken, and M. Gocht	236
	Introduction	236
	Flood Risk -- Definitions and Indicators	240
	Flood Hazard	240
	Flood Vulnerability	241
	Flood Risk	243
	Proposal for Systematic Flood Mapping	244
	Flood Hazard Mapping	244
	Flood Vulnerability Mapping	245
	Flood Risk Mapping	247
	Discussion	248
	Efforts for Developing and Updating Flood Maps	248
	Reliability	250
	Use of Flood Maps	251
	Challenges	252
	Vulnerability and Risk Mapping	252
	Dynamic Flood Mapping	253
	End-User Involvement	253
	Cross-Border Flood Mapping	253
	Real-Time Flood Mapping	254
	978-1-4020-4200-3_14_OnlinePDF.pdf	257
	Flood Modelling and the August 2002 Flood in the Czech Republic	257
	P. Sklenár, E. Zeman, J. ŠPatka and P. TachecÍ	257
	Introduction -- The General Situation	257
	Flood 8/2002 -- Situation	259
	Prague Flood Model	261
	The Very Beginnings	261
	1D Phase -- The Comprehensive Study 1994--1997	265
	2D Flood Model 2000--2001	268
	2D Prague Flood Model 2003 -- Update after 8/2002 Flood Event	271
	Practical Application of the Re-Calibrated 2D Model	272
	Flood Protection -- Structural Measures	275
	Example of Structural Mitigation Effort in Prague on the Vltava River	276
	Non-Structural Measures	276
	Conclusions	277
	978-1-4020-4200-3_15_OnlinePDF.pdf	279
	Seasonal Rainfall and Flow Trends Within Three Catchments in South-West England	279
	D. Han	279
	Introduction	279
	Catchments	282
	Trends of Rainfall and Flow	284
	Seasonal Trends of Rainfall	285
	Seasonal Trends of Mean Flow	285
	Seasonal Trends of Peak Flow	285
	Trends of Return Period of Annual Maximum Flow	288
	Evaluating the Goodness of Fit	288
	Discussion and Conclusions	292
	978-1-4020-4200-3_16_OnlinePDF.pdf	297
	Propagation of Discharge Uncertainty in a Flood Damage Model For the Meuse River	297
	Y.P. Xu, M.J. Booij, and A.E. Mynett,	297
	Introduction	297
	Flood Damage and Uncertainty	299
	Flood Frequency Analysis	299
	Expected Annual Damage (EAD)	301
	Propagation of Uncertainty	302
	Case Study	303
	The Meuse River	303
	Data Used	303
	Model Results and Discussion	306
	Uncertainty Analysis of T-year Event Discharges	306
	Uncertainty in Damage	309
	Discussion	312
	Conclusions and Recommendations	312
	978-1-4020-4200-3_17_OnlinePDF.pdf	315
	A Stochastic Model for Simulating Long Time Series of River-Mouth Discharge and Sediment Load	315
	R.M. Hoogendoorn and G.J. Weltje	315
	Introduction	315
	Theory	317
	Simulations from Discharge Measurements	321
	Prediction of River Discharge	325
	Kura River Simulation	327
	Climate Change and Sediment Supply	330
	Discussion and Conclusions	333
	978-1-4020-4200-3_18_OnlinePDF.pdf	336
	SECTIONIV Flood Forecasting	336
	Forecasting Flash Floods with an Operational Model	337
	P.A. Ayral, S. Sauvagnargues-Lesage, S. Gay, and F. Bressand	337
	Introduction	337
	The Model ALHTAÏR: Context and Issues	338
	ALHTAÏR Structure	339
	ALHTAÏR in ``Watershed'' Mode	341
	Evaluation of the Flash Flood Forecasting Model ALHTAÏR	343
	The Extreme Rainfall Event	343
	Materials and Method	344
	Results of the Evaluation of the Efficiency of ALHTAÏR on Small Non-Gauged Watersheds During the September 2002 Event	349
	Discussion	350
	About ALHTAÏR in ``Watershed'' Mode	350
	Spatialisation of the Forecasting Model	351
	First Tests with ALHTAÏR in ``Spatialised Mode''	351
	Conclusion	353
	978-1-4020-4200-3_19_OnlinePDF.pdf	355
	Flood Forecasting for the Upper and Middle Odra River Basin	355
	M. Butts, A. Dubicki, K. Stronska, G. J"01Frgensen, A. Nalberczynski, A. Lewandowski, and T. van Kalken	355
	Background	356
	Motivation	357
	Modelling the Upper and Middle Odra Basin	359
	Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Modelling	359
	Calibration and Validation of the Upper and Middle Odra Model	363
	Rainfall-Runoff Model Calibration and Validation	364
	The River Network (Hydrodynamic) Model	370
	Polders and Floodplains	372
	Calibration and Validation of the Hydrodynamic Model	374
	Implementation of Flood Forecastingand Management System for Real Time Operation	379
	Real-Time Data Management	380
	The GIS User Interface	381
	Flood Forecasting and Updating	381
	Summary and Conclusions	382
	978-1-4020-4200-3_20_OnlinePDF.pdf	387
	Flood forecasting in the anglian region	387
	D.E. Cadman, D.A. Price and M.B. Butts	387
	Forecasting in Flood Event Management	388
	The Challenge to Flood Forecasting	388
	Meeting the Challenge	389
	The Anglian Region: Recent Challenges and Solutions	389
	Modelling Challenges	389
	Technical and Organisational Forecasting Capability in the 1990's	390
	The Anglian Flow Forecasting and Modelling System	391
	The Regional Monitoring and Forecasting Centre	394
	New Challenges and Solutions	394
	A New Cultural Environment	394
	The Need for a New Approach	395
	Flood Warning as a Risk Management Problem	396
	Applying a Generic Risk Structure to Flood Forecasting	396
	Communicating Risk Information	397
	Conclusion	398
	978-1-4020-4200-3_21_OnlinePDF.pdf	402
	Flood Forecasting Model Selection	402
	K.A. Tilford, K.J. Sene, and R. Khatibi	402
	Introduction	402
	Overall Approach	403
	Key Steps in Applying the Guidelines	404
	Technical Issues	404
	Economic Issues	408
	Associated Issues	410
	Review Model Selection	412
	Applications	413
	Discussion and Conclusions	414
	978-1-4020-4200-3_22_OnlinePDF.pdf	418
	Numerical Modelling in Coastal FloodForecasting and Warning in England and Wales	418
	K. Hu and C. Wotherspoon	418
	Introduction	418
	Basis of CFFW and Current Practice in England and Wales	419
	Forecasting	419
	Trigger Conditions	421
	Inundation Mapping	421
	Numerical Modelling in Coastal Flood Forecasting and Warning	423
	Numerical Modelling in Forecasting Tidal Levels and Offshore Wind and Waves	423
	Numerical Modelling in Forecasting Inshore Waves	424
	Numerical Modelling in Forecasting Overtopping of Sea Defence	425
	Numerical Modelling in Forecasting Wind Impact	425
	Numerical Modelling in Forecasting Breach Likelihood	426
	Numerical Modelling of Inundation	427
	Discussions on the Future Improvement and Practical Problems	427
	Conclusions	429
	978-1-4020-4200-3_23_OnlinePDF.pdf	431
	SECTIONV Flood Risk Management Policy	431
	Reflections on the Challenges of Eu Policy-Making with View to Flood Risk Management	432
	A.L. Vetere Arellano, A. De Roo And J.-P. Nordvik	432
	Floods in Europe	433
	Flood Risk Management in some European Countries	433
	The Acquis Communautaire with View to Flooding	434
	The Main Policy Areas Addressing Flood-Related Issues Within The European Commission24	446
	Directorate General on Environment Policy (DG ENV)	454
	Directorate General on Agriculture Policy (DG AGRI)29	455
	Directorate General on Regional Policy (DG REGIO)30	455
	Directorate General on Research Policy (DG RTD)38	456
	Directorate General of the Joint Research Centre (DG JRC)43	457
	Directorate General on Information SocietyPolicy (DG INFSO)	459
	ECHO -- European Office for EmergencyHumanitarian Aid48	460
	Other Initiatives at EU Level	460
	Identified Needs In Flood Risk Management At Eu Level	461
	A Proposed Vision of Flood Risk Management at Eu Level	465
	978-1-4020-4200-3_24_OnlinePDF.pdf	468
	On the Flood Risk in the Netherlands	468
	L.M. Bouwer And P. Vellinga	468
	Introduction	468
	Historical Flooding and the Impact on Flood Management Policy	468
	Flooding Frequency Levels	469
	Contemporary Hydraulic Baseline Conditions	471
	Compliance with Current Standards	471
	Recent Insights in the Hydraulic Conditions	472
	The Impact of a Large-Scale Flooding Event	475
	Comparison With Other Risks	476
	The Impact of Climate Change	478
	Invest in Flood Defences, or Adjust Safety Levels?	480
	Conclusions	481
	978-1-4020-4200-3_25_OnlinePDF.pdf	484
	Planning for River Induced Floods in Urban Areas	484
	D. Thorsteinsson, A. Semadeni-Davies and R. Larsson	484
	Introduction	485
	Background	485
	Objectives and Overview	487
	Flooding and the Planning Process	487
	Comprehensive Plans	488
	Area Regulations and Detailed Development Plans	488
	Building Permits	489
	Water Framework Directive	490
	Flood Mitigation Examples	491
	The Role of Hydropower	492
	Element of Surprise	495
	Regulate More Wisely?	495
	Dam Safety	496
	The Role Of Insurers	497
	Conclusions	498
	978-1-4020-4200-3_26_OnlinePDF.pdf	503
	Interregional and Transnational Co-Operation in River Basins -- Chances To Improve Flood Risk Management?	503
	B. Haupter, P. Heiland and J. Neumüller	503
	Preface	504
	Needs For Co-Operation	505
	Concept For Improved Co-Operation	506
	Levels of Co-operation	506
	Actors for Co-operation	507
	Operating and Promoting Aspects of Co-operation	508
	Support by Economic Incentives and Financial Compensation	509
	Present State And Visions In Large European River Basins	511
	Co-operation in the Rhine Catchment	511
	The Oder Catchment -- Co-operation	513
	Developments in the Elbe River Basin	515
	conclusions	516
	978-1-4020-4200-3_BookBackmatter_OnlinePDF.pdf	521