|
Preface |
7 |
|
|
Acknowledgements |
9 |
|
|
Contents |
11 |
|
|
Introduction: Uncertainty Quantification and Propagation |
17 |
|
|
Introduction |
17 |
|
|
Simulation Framework |
19 |
|
|
Uncertainties |
20 |
|
|
Uncertainty Propagation and Quantification |
21 |
|
|
Objectives |
21 |
|
|
Probabilistic Framework |
22 |
|
|
Data Uncertainty |
22 |
|
|
Approach to UQ |
23 |
|
|
Monte Carlo Methods |
24 |
|
|
Spectral Methods |
25 |
|
|
Overview |
26 |
|
|
Basic Formulations |
30 |
|
|
Spectral Expansions |
31 |
|
|
Karhunen-Loève Expansion |
32 |
|
|
Problem Formulation |
32 |
|
|
Properties of KL Expansions |
34 |
|
|
Practical Determination |
35 |
|
|
Rational Spectra |
35 |
|
|
Non-rational Spectra |
38 |
|
|
Numerical Resolution |
38 |
|
|
Gaussian Processes |
41 |
|
|
Polynomial Chaos Expansion |
42 |
|
|
Polynomial Chaos System |
44 |
|
|
One Dimensional PC Basis |
45 |
|
|
Multidimensional PC Basis |
45 |
|
|
Truncated PC Expansion |
47 |
|
|
Generalized Polynomial Chaos |
49 |
|
|
Independent Random Variables |
49 |
|
|
Chaos Expansions |
51 |
|
|
Dependent Random Variables |
51 |
|
|
Spectral Expansions of Stochastic Quantities |
53 |
|
|
Random Variable |
53 |
|
|
Random Vectors |
54 |
|
|
Stochastic Processes |
55 |
|
|
Application to Uncertainty Quantification Problems |
57 |
|
|
Non-intrusive Methods |
59 |
|
|
Non-intrusive Spectral Projection |
61 |
|
|
Orthogonal Basis |
61 |
|
|
Orthogonal Projection |
61 |
|
|
Simulation Approaches for NISP |
62 |
|
|
Monte Carlo Method |
62 |
|
|
Improved Sampling Strategies |
63 |
|
|
Deterministic Integration Approach for NISP |
65 |
|
|
Quadrature Formulas |
65 |
|
|
Gauss Quadratures |
65 |
|
|
Nested Quadratures |
67 |
|
|
Tensor Product Formulas |
69 |
|
|
Sparse Grid Cubatures for NISP |
70 |
|
|
Sparse Grid Construction |
71 |
|
|
Adaptive Sparse Grids |
73 |
|
|
Dimension-Adaptive Sparse Grid |
74 |
|
|
General Adaptive Sparse Grid Method |
74 |
|
|
Least Squares Fit |
77 |
|
|
Least Squares Minimization Problem |
78 |
|
|
Selection of the Minimization Points |
79 |
|
|
Weighted Least Squares Problem |
81 |
|
|
Collocation Methods |
82 |
|
|
Approximation Problem |
82 |
|
|
Polynomial Interpolation |
83 |
|
|
Sparse Collocation Method |
85 |
|
|
Closing Remarks |
85 |
|
|
Galerkin Methods |
87 |
|
|
Stochastic Problem Formulation |
88 |
|
|
Model Equations and Notations |
88 |
|
|
Deterministic Problem |
88 |
|
|
Stochastic Problem |
88 |
|
|
Functional Spaces |
89 |
|
|
Case of Discrete Deterministic Problems |
90 |
|
|
Weak Form |
91 |
|
|
Stochastic Discretization |
91 |
|
|
Stochastic Basis |
92 |
|
|
Data Parametrization and Solution Expansion |
93 |
|
|
Spectral Problem |
94 |
|
|
Stochastic Residual |
94 |
|
|
Galerkin Method |
95 |
|
|
Comments |
95 |
|
|
Linear Problems |
96 |
|
|
General Formulation |
96 |
|
|
Structure of Linear Spectral Problems |
97 |
|
|
Case of Deterministic Operator |
97 |
|
|
General Case |
98 |
|
|
Solution Methods for Linear Spectral Problems |
101 |
|
|
Nonlinearities |
103 |
|
|
Polynomial Nonlinearities |
104 |
|
|
Galerkin Product |
104 |
|
|
Higher-Order Polynomial Nonlinearity |
105 |
|
|
Galerkin Inversion and Division |
106 |
|
|
Square Root |
109 |
|
|
Absolute Values |
110 |
|
|
Min and Max Operators |
111 |
|
|
Integration Approach |
113 |
|
|
Other Types of Nonlinearities |
117 |
|
|
Taylor Expansion |
117 |
|
|
Non-intrusive Projection |
117 |
|
|
Closing Remarks |
118 |
|
|
Detailed Elementary Applications |
120 |
|
|
Heat Equation |
121 |
|
|
Deterministic Problem |
121 |
|
|
Variational Formulation |
122 |
|
|
Finite Element Approximation |
122 |
|
|
Stochastic Problem |
123 |
|
|
Stochastic Variational Formulation |
124 |
|
|
Deterministic Discretization |
124 |
|
|
Stochastic Discretization |
125 |
|
|
Spectral Problem |
126 |
|
|
Example 1: Uniform Conductivity |
129 |
|
|
Trivial Cases |
130 |
|
|
Validation |
131 |
|
|
Example 2: Nonuniform Conductivity |
135 |
|
|
Setup |
135 |
|
|
Mean and Standard Deviation |
136 |
|
|
Analysis of the Solution Modes |
137 |
|
|
Probability Density Functions |
139 |
|
|
Example 3: Uncertain Boundary Conditions |
139 |
|
|
Treatment of Uncertain Boundary Conditions |
139 |
|
|
Test Case |
142 |
|
|
Simulations |
143 |
|
|
Variance Analysis |
150 |
|
|
Functional Decomposition |
151 |
|
|
Application |
152 |
|
|
Stochastic Viscous Burgers Equation |
154 |
|
|
Deterministic Problem |
154 |
|
|
Spatial Discretization |
155 |
|
|
Discrete Deterministic Problem |
156 |
|
|
Stochastic Problem |
157 |
|
|
Stochastic Discretization |
157 |
|
|
Stochastic Galerkin Projection |
158 |
|
|
Numerical Example |
159 |
|
|
Convergence of the Stochastic Approximation |
160 |
|
|
Non-intrusive Spectral Projection |
161 |
|
|
Quadrature Formula |
161 |
|
|
Comparison with the Galerkin Projection |
162 |
|
|
Monte-Carlo Method |
163 |
|
|
Monte-Carlo Sampling |
164 |
|
|
First- and Second-Order Estimates |
165 |
|
|
Determination of Percentiles |
167 |
|
|
Application to Navier-Stokes Equations |
170 |
|
|
SPM for Incompressible Flow |
171 |
|
|
Governing Equations |
172 |
|
|
Intrusive Formulation and Solution Scheme |
173 |
|
|
Numerical Examples |
176 |
|
|
Example 1 |
176 |
|
|
Example 2 |
180 |
|
|
Example 3 |
187 |
|
|
Boussinesq Extension |
194 |
|
|
Deterministic Problem |
196 |
|
|
Stochastic Formulation |
197 |
|
|
Stochastic Expansion and Solution Scheme |
198 |
|
|
Boundary Conditions |
199 |
|
|
Solution Method |
199 |
|
|
Validation |
200 |
|
|
Deterministic Prediction |
200 |
|
|
Convergence Analysis |
200 |
|
|
Analysis of Stochastic Modes |
211 |
|
|
Velocity Modes |
211 |
|
|
Temperature Modes |
214 |
|
|
Comparison with NISP |
214 |
|
|
Gauss-Hermite Quadrature |
216 |
|
|
Latin Hypercube Sampling |
220 |
|
|
Uncertainty Analysis |
223 |
|
|
Low-Mach Number Solver |
225 |
|
|
Zero-Mach-Number Model |
225 |
|
|
Solution Method |
227 |
|
|
Stochastic System |
227 |
|
|
Boundary Conditions |
228 |
|
|
Solution Method |
229 |
|
|
Galerkin and Pseudo-spectral Evaluation of Nonlinear Terms |
230 |
|
|
Pressure Solvability Constraints |
231 |
|
|
Validation |
232 |
|
|
Boussinesq Limit |
232 |
|
|
Non-Boussinesq Regime |
234 |
|
|
Uncertainty Analysis |
236 |
|
|
Heat Transfer Characteristics |
236 |
|
|
Mean Fields |
238 |
|
|
Standard Deviations |
240 |
|
|
Remarks |
241 |
|
|
Stochastic Galerkin Projection for Particle Methods |
242 |
|
|
Particle Method |
244 |
|
|
Boussinesq Equations in Rotation Form |
244 |
|
|
Particle Formulation |
245 |
|
|
Approximation of Diffusion and Buoyancy Terms |
247 |
|
|
Acceleration of Velocity Computation |
249 |
|
|
Remeshing |
250 |
|
|
Stochastic Formulation |
251 |
|
|
Stochastic Basis and PC Expansion |
251 |
|
|
Straightforward Particle Formulation |
253 |
|
|
Particle Discretization of the Stochastic Flow |
254 |
|
|
Validation |
258 |
|
|
Diffusion of a Circular Vortex |
258 |
|
|
Convection of a Passive Scalar |
261 |
|
|
Application to Natural Convection Flow |
266 |
|
|
Remarks |
273 |
|
|
Mulitphysics Example |
276 |
|
|
Physical Models |
277 |
|
|
Momentum |
277 |
|
|
Species Concentrations |
278 |
|
|
Electrostatic Field Strength |
280 |
|
|
Stochastic Formulation |
280 |
|
|
Implementation |
281 |
|
|
Data Structure |
281 |
|
|
Spatial Discretization |
282 |
|
|
Electroneutrality |
282 |
|
|
Electrostatic Field Strength |
282 |
|
|
Time Integration |
283 |
|
|
Estimates of Nonlinear Transformations |
285 |
|
|
Validation |
285 |
|
|
Protein Labeling in a 2D Microchannel |
290 |
|
|
Concluding Remarks |
295 |
|
|
Advanced Topics |
297 |
|
|
Solvers for Stochastic Galerkin Problems |
298 |
|
|
Krylov Methods for Linear Models |
299 |
|
|
Krylov Methods for Large Linear Systems |
300 |
|
|
GMRes Method |
301 |
|
|
Conjugate Gradient Method |
302 |
|
|
Bi-Conjugate Gradient Method |
302 |
|
|
Preconditioning |
302 |
|
|
Jacobi Preconditioner |
303 |
|
|
ILU Preconditioners |
304 |
|
|
Preconditioners for Galerkin Systems |
305 |
|
|
Block-Jacobi Preconditioners |
305 |
|
|
Operator Expectation Preconditioning |
306 |
|
|
Specialized Block Diagonal Preconditioners |
307 |
|
|
Multigrid Solvers for Diffusion Problems |
308 |
|
|
Spectral Representation |
309 |
|
|
Continuous Formulation and Time Discretization |
311 |
|
|
Stochastic Galerkin Projection |
311 |
|
|
Boundary and Initial Conditions |
311 |
|
|
Implicit Time Discretization |
312 |
|
|
Finite Difference Discretization |
312 |
|
|
Spatial Discretization |
312 |
|
|
Treatment of Boundary Conditions |
313 |
|
|
Iterative Method |
314 |
|
|
Outer Iterations |
314 |
|
|
Inner Iterations |
315 |
|
|
Convergence of the Iterative Scheme |
316 |
|
|
Multigrid Acceleration |
316 |
|
|
Definition of Grid Levels |
317 |
|
|
Projection and Prolongation Procedures |
317 |
|
|
Multigrid Cycles |
318 |
|
|
Implementation of the Multigrid Scheme |
318 |
|
|
Results |
320 |
|
|
Multigrid Acceleration |
320 |
|
|
Influence of Stochastic Representation Parameters |
322 |
|
|
Effects of Diffusivity Field Statistics |
323 |
|
|
Selection of Multigrid Parameters |
326 |
|
|
Stochastic Steady Flow Solver |
327 |
|
|
Governing Equations and Integration Schemes |
328 |
|
|
Stochastic Spectral Problem |
329 |
|
|
Resolution of Steady Stochastic Equations |
331 |
|
|
Newton Iterations |
332 |
|
|
Stochastic Increment Problem |
333 |
|
|
Matrix Free Solver |
334 |
|
|
Test Problem |
335 |
|
|
Problem Definition |
335 |
|
|
Unsteady Simulations |
336 |
|
|
Newton Iterations |
337 |
|
|
Influence of the Stochastic Discretization |
340 |
|
|
Computational Time |
343 |
|
|
Unstable Steady Flow |
345 |
|
|
Uncertainty Settings |
345 |
|
|
Flow Equations and Stochastic Decoupling |
346 |
|
|
Results |
347 |
|
|
Closing Remarks |
350 |
|
|
Wavelet and Multiresolution Analysis Schemes |
353 |
|
|
The Wiener-Haar expansion |
355 |
|
|
Preliminaries |
355 |
|
|
Haar Scaling Functions |
355 |
|
|
Haar Wavelets |
356 |
|
|
Wavelet Approximation of a Random Variable |
357 |
|
|
Multidimensional Case |
358 |
|
|
Comparison with Spectral Expansions |
359 |
|
|
Applications of WHa Expansion |
360 |
|
|
Dynamical System |
360 |
|
|
Solution Method |
361 |
|
|
Results |
363 |
|
|
Rayleigh-Bénard Instability |
370 |
|
|
WLe Expansion |
373 |
|
|
WHa Expansion |
374 |
|
|
Continuous Problem |
380 |
|
|
Multiresolution Analysis and Multiwavelet Basis |
383 |
|
|
Change of Variable |
384 |
|
|
Multiresolution Analysis |
385 |
|
|
Vector Spaces |
385 |
|
|
Multiwavelet Basis |
385 |
|
|
Construction of the psij's |
386 |
|
|
MW Expansion |
388 |
|
|
Expansion of the Random Process |
389 |
|
|
The Multidimensional Case |
390 |
|
|
Mean and variance |
391 |
|
|
Application to Lorenz System |
392 |
|
|
h-p Convergence of the MW Expansion |
392 |
|
|
Solution Method |
392 |
|
|
Convergence Results |
393 |
|
|
Comparison with Monte Carlo Sampling |
397 |
|
|
Classical Sampling Strategy |
397 |
|
|
Latin Hypercube Sampling |
398 |
|
|
Closing Remarks |
398 |
|
|
Adaptive Methods |
400 |
|
|
Adaptive MW Expansion |
401 |
|
|
Algorithm for Iterative Adaptation |
402 |
|
|
Application to Rayleigh-Bénard Flow |
403 |
|
|
Adaptive Partitioning of Random Parameter Space |
405 |
|
|
Partition of the Random Parameter Space |
406 |
|
|
Local Expansion Basis |
406 |
|
|
Error Indicator and Refinement Strategy |
408 |
|
|
Example |
409 |
|
|
Two-Dimensional Problem |
409 |
|
|
Higher Dimensional Problems |
415 |
|
|
A posteriori Error Estimation |
415 |
|
|
Variational Formulation |
418 |
|
|
Deterministic Variational Problem |
418 |
|
|
Stochastic Variational Problem |
418 |
|
|
Probability Space |
419 |
|
|
Stochastic Discretization |
419 |
|
|
Spatial Discretization |
421 |
|
|
Approximation Space Uh |
421 |
|
|
Dual-based a posteriori Error Estimate |
422 |
|
|
A posteriori Error |
422 |
|
|
Posterior Error Estimation |
423 |
|
|
Methodology |
425 |
|
|
Refinement Procedure |
426 |
|
|
Global and Local Error Estimates |
426 |
|
|
Refinement Strategies |
426 |
|
|
Application to Burgers Equation |
428 |
|
|
Uncertainty Settings |
428 |
|
|
Variational Problems |
429 |
|
|
Isotropic hxi Refinement |
430 |
|
|
Isotropic hxi,x Refinement |
433 |
|
|
Anisotropic h/q Refinement |
438 |
|
|
Generalized Spectral Decomposition |
442 |
|
|
Variational Formulation |
444 |
|
|
Stochastic Discretization |
444 |
|
|
General Spectral Decomposition |
445 |
|
|
Definition of an Optimal Pair (U,lambda) |
445 |
|
|
A Progressive Definition of the Decomposition |
447 |
|
|
Algorithms for Building the Decomposition |
448 |
|
|
Extension to Affine Spaces |
450 |
|
|
Application to Burgers Equation |
451 |
|
|
Variational Formulation |
451 |
|
|
Implementation of Algorithms 1 and 2 |
452 |
|
|
Spatial Discretization |
454 |
|
|
Stochastic Discretization |
455 |
|
|
Solvers |
456 |
|
|
Results |
458 |
|
|
Application to a Nonlinear Stationary Diffusion Equation |
469 |
|
|
Application of GSD Algorithms |
470 |
|
|
Results |
473 |
|
|
Closing Remarks |
483 |
|
|
Epilogue |
486 |
|
|
Extensions and Generalizations |
486 |
|
|
Open Problems |
487 |
|
|
New Capabilities |
490 |
|
|
Appendix A Essential Elements of Probability Theory and Random Processes |
491 |
|
|
Probability Theory |
491 |
|
|
Measurable Space |
491 |
|
|
Probability Measure |
492 |
|
|
Probability Space |
492 |
|
|
Measurable Functions |
493 |
|
|
Induced Probability |
493 |
|
|
Random Variables |
493 |
|
|
Measurable Transformations |
494 |
|
|
Integration and Expectation Operators |
494 |
|
|
Integrability |
494 |
|
|
Expectation |
495 |
|
|
L2 Space |
496 |
|
|
Random Variables |
497 |
|
|
Distribution Function of a Random Variable |
497 |
|
|
Density Function of a Random Variable |
497 |
|
|
Moments of a Random Variable |
498 |
|
|
Convergence of Random Variables |
498 |
|
|
Random Vectors |
499 |
|
|
Joint Distribution and Density Functions |
499 |
|
|
Independence of Random Variables |
501 |
|
|
Moments of a Random Vector |
502 |
|
|
Gaussian Vector |
503 |
|
|
Stochastic Processes |
503 |
|
|
Motivation and Basic Definitions |
503 |
|
|
Properties of Stochastic Processes |
504 |
|
|
Finite Dimensional Distributions and Densities |
505 |
|
|
Second Moment Properties |
505 |
|
|
Appendix B Orthogonal Polynomials |
507 |
|
|
Classical Families of Continuous Orthogonal Polynomials |
508 |
|
|
Legendre Polynomials |
508 |
|
|
Hermite Polynomials |
509 |
|
|
Laguerre Polynomials |
511 |
|
|
Gauss Quadrature |
512 |
|
|
Gauss-Legendre Quadrature |
513 |
|
|
Gauss-Hermite Quadratures |
513 |
|
|
Gauss-Laguerre Quadrature |
516 |
|
|
Askey Scheme |
517 |
|
|
Jacobi Polynomials |
518 |
|
|
Discrete Polynomials |
519 |
|
|
Appendix C Implementation of Product and Moment Formulas |
522 |
|
|
One-Dimensional Polynomials |
522 |
|
|
Moments of One-Dimensional Polynomials |
523 |
|
|
Multidimensional PC Basis |
523 |
|
|
Multi-Index Construction |
523 |
|
|
Moments of Multidimensional Polynomials |
524 |
|
|
Implementation Details |
525 |
|
|
References |
526 |
|
|
Index |
537 |
|